Barack Obama gave a speech (details and transcript) at the Detroit
Economic Group today. Obama’s speech outlined a plan for automakers to invest
in alternative fuel technology and receive financial support from the
government.
This situation seems similar to the situation that automakers and the
government faced in the 1970s, when the United States imposed trade restrictions on
foreign automakers to allow American companies to catch up in terms of
technology. However, the restrictions failed for many reasons, namely the lack
of investment in research and development of four-cylinder technology. Today,
and in the future, the automakers cannot work to impose restrictions on foreign
automakers because they supply Americans with manufacturing jobs. Foreign
automakers like Toyota invested in the American economy to secure distribution of their products in
the event that a situation like the 1970s were to happen again.
Currently, Toyota and Honda have a stronghold on hybrid technology, with Ford, GM and Chrysler
lagging behind. Now, as GM moves forward, with its E85 approach intact, will it
attempt to catch up to Toyota and focus on hybrid technology? Or will GM invest in other fuel alternatives
such as hydrogen fuel cells?
It is apparent that Toyota has first mover advantages in terms hybrid technology in compact cars (In March 2007, Americans bought 34,636 hybrid cars. Of those, 83 percent were Toyotas).
Will GM continue to serve the SUV market, a market that GM has
dominated in recent years – 60 percent market share in 2005, while using hybrid
technology in its vehicles?
GM plans to introduce hybrid versions of both the Yukon and the Tahoe later this year. Will
this be a great business decision or will Americans shun the idea of a large
SUV even though it is a hybrid?
With re-urbanization efforts and trends in metropolitan areas in mind,
I think it’d be wise for GM, Ford and Chrysler to downsize the total number of
models they produce, to lower production costs, and increase investment in
hydrogen cell and hybrid technology for smaller cars and crossover SUVs. These
will be sustainable products for the foreseeable future.
Please submit your suggestions for GM and Ford on how they should
approach alternative fuels.
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